The AXA Future Risks Report 2025: UK findings reveal societal fragmentation and concerns of a global war

20 October 2025

Posted in Surveys and reports

  • The 2025 AXA Future Risks Report reveals that the UK population is becoming increasingly concerned about the impact and frequency of crises
  • Geopolitical instability has become the top perceived risk for UK insurance industry experts, with the majority believeing tensions could lead to a global war
  • Experts and the general public agree that preventative action is key to mitigating risks

The potential for global war and the continued impact of climate change are among the top concerns highlighted in the 2025 AXA Future Risks Report - a worldwide survey that explores the perceptions of insurance industry experts and the general public on the most pressing threats.

The report, now in its 12th year, surveyed 3,595 insurance experts and 23,000 members of the public across 57 countries.

In the UK, while climate change remains the number one concern for the public for the fourth consecutive year, geopolitical instability becomes the top risk for experts. 98% believe there is a risk that unrest could spread across the globe and become more persistent in the future, with 94% thinking tensions could lead to a global war.

Risks associated with technology continue to be of concern, with cyber security ranking second for both experts and the public. In addition, 57% of UK experts (vs. 44% in 2024) and 54% of the general population (vs. 41% in 2024) are concerned about risks related to the ethical use of technology.

There is strong agreement across both groups in the UK on the growing impact and frequency of crises, with 96% of experts and 94% of the general public admitting that crises have a deeper impact on people’s lives and 96% of experts and 93% of the public observing an increase in the number of crises happening in recent years. 

For the first time, questions were asked about societal fragmentation, with results indicating that both experts and the public believe societies are losing the common values that once held them together. Both globally and in the UK, growing economic and social inequalities were highlighted as a key reason for this fragmentation.

Despite the challenges, when asked about prevention, UK experts (89%) and the general public (87%) agree that the risks they’re most worried about can be mitigated through preventative action. They also highlight that insurers have a huge impact, with 87% of UK experts and 72% of the general population believing that insurers can play a significant role in protecting society against emerging risks.

It’s no surprise that this year’s findings show risks are rising and increasingly linked, alongside growing concern about geopolitical instability and a sense that society is becoming more divided.

While the report paints a picture of global uncertainty, there are green shoots of optimism. Insurers are increasingly recognised for the role they play in protecting society and, for AXA, this reinforces our commitment to tackling these challenges and helping customers build resilience through the solutions and expertise we provide.

Tara Foley, CEO at AXA UK & Ireland
Headshot of Tara Foley, Chief Executive Officer of AXA UK and Ireland

The 2025 edition features a digital risk radar that allows the public to filter the raw data based on factors such as year and region: Future Risks Report | AXA

AXA UK Future Risks Report 2025 - stats in brief 

251 experts and 1000 general population members were from the UK. 

UK experts top 10 future risks 

  1. Geopolitical instability 
  2. Cyber security risks 
  3. Climate change 
  4. Social tensions and movements 
  5. Risk related to AI and big data 
  6. Macro-economic risks 
  7. Energy risks 
  8. New security threats and terrorism 
  9. Financial stability risks
  10. Natural resources and biodiversity risks 

    UK general population top 10 future risks 

    1. Climate change 
    2. Cyber security risks 
    3. New security threats and terrorism 
    4. Social tensions and movements 
    5. Geopolitical instability 
    6. Energy risks 
    7. Risks related to AI and big data 
    8. Pandemics and infectious diseases
    9. Financial stability risks 
    10. Natural resources and biodiversity risks